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Weston M
04-10-2007, 10:38 AM
2007 NFL Draft: Ranking the WR's
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Continuing with my breakdown of the top prospects in the NFL draft, I now focus on the glamour position of the NFL: wide receiver. This position has become an area of concern in the past few NFL drafts. Despite abundant talent and enormous potential seemingly every season, it always seems as though few of the “top players” at the position rarely reach their potential in the NFL. Whether the player never reaches his potential or has character concerns, teams always have something to worry about when evaluating this positions. That being said, the 2007 class features several prospects who have the potential to turn into solid contributors in the league. Here’s the breakdown:


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1. Calvin Johnson

Strengths: You name it, this kid has got it. His size immediately makes him a threat at 6’5” 240. Has great speed as evidenced by his 4.35 40-yard dash at the NFL combine. A great leaper which will create even more mismatch problems at the next level. Fights defenders and rarely loses jump-ball situations. Unlike many of today’s wide receivers he has not shown any character concerns. A humble kid. Has great hands and makes difficult catches look routine. Rarely drops passes. Size gives him the ability to dominate in blocking situations and has shown the willingness to do so.
Weaknesses: Sometimes loses concentration when going after balls. Didn’t have the luxury of playing with a consistent quarterback in college, which may have hindered his development. Has great speed but lacks initial explosiveness.
Bottom Line: Calvin Johnson is without a doubt the most impressive prospect in this year’s class. There are very few weaknesses in his game compared to dominating strengths. If the draft order stays as it is now then Johnson will not fall past the Buccaneers at number four. However, there will be a lot of draft talk about teams trying to move up to acquire Johnson. Expect Johnson to be an immediate impact player who could turn into one of the game’s best within a year or so.


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2. Ted Ginn Jr.

Strengths: Has great speed and quickness. Perhaps the most dangerous open-field threat in this year’s class…regardless of position. Shows good quickness off the snap and does a good job of getting open. His ability on special teams makes him even more desirable. Performed well in big games during college including against Texas and Florida.
Weaknesses: Despite a lot of talent, Ginn has many areas in which he must improve. Drops too many passes and muffed too many punts. Often relies on his speed and athleticism to get open and doesn’t run great routes. His size gives him a disadvantage in blocking situations. Will need work in the next level to reach the game-changing potential he possesses.
Bottom Line: Ginn’s playmaking ability and dangerous special teams skills up his value tremendously. He has the ability, however, to be more than just a one-dimensional threat. His lack of size and questionable technique will worry some teams but with time and work he has all the ability to become a solid #2 receiver.


http://i.a.cnn.net/si/2006/writers/stewart_mandel/12/20/underclass.draft/Jarrett.jpg
3. Dwayne Jarrett

Strengths: A big, physical receiver who creates mismatches on the outside. A red-zone threat who will cause problems inside the ten. Has great hands and makes spectacular catches on a regular basis. Wins a lot of jump balls and does a good job shielding defenders with his body. Performed well in big games for USC and had a lights-out performance in the Rose Bowl against a solid Michigan defense. Can make plays after contact and fights for extra yardage after the catch. A good route-runner.
Weaknesses: Speed and quickness are a huge concern. Will not outrun defenders in the NFL and will have trouble creating separation and making huge plays vertically. Will sometimes disappear in games and will lose focus when going after routine balls. Runs high which limits his quickness. Is a confident player that borderlines arrogance, which makes teams worry about future issues. Mike Williams part II?
Bottom Line: Jarrett has great physical tools. His size, leaping ability, and great hands will make it tough on defenders to cover him. Speed and quickness will be a continual question for him but if he can run in the 4.50 range then it should not overwhelm the rest of his talents. Someone will take a shot at Jarrett in the top 20 because of his abilities to put up big touchdown numbers.

4. Robert Meachem, Tennessee
5. Sidney Rice, South Carolina
6. Dwayne Bowe, LSU


Sleepers:

Paul Williams, Fresno State: Is an incredible athlete who has the ability to become a top-notch receiver in the NFL. He has great speed, hands, and playmaking ability. However, for some reason it appears as if he has not been willing to reach his potential. Work ethic and aggressiveness are concerns for this prospect but if he can get his head on straight he’ll be an absolute steal.

Jacoby Jones, Lane College: Was a superstar receiver playing in Division II. Has good size and speed for a receiver and often beats his man downfield. Appears to be a humble kid who is a hard worker. He is a very raw prospect who will need to develop in many areas of his game. Scouts worry about his small hands at the next level. Despite all this, he can become a solid receiver in the NFL along with being a deep threat.

Yamon Figurs, Kansas State: Was the fastest player overall at the NFL combine and performed well enough in other drills to make him a candidate to be a sleeper in this year’s draft. Like many other receivers with great speed, he is very raw. He must work on areas of his game to become a more polished and consistent threat at the next level.


Biggest Risk:

Dwayne Jarrett, Southern California: Is a phenomenal athlete with great hands and will be a nightmare for cornerbacks inside the red zone. However, his lack of speed and explosiveness are big issues. Some wonder if his attitude is a resemblance of confidence or arrogance. It’s hard to ignore the similarities between him and former Trojan Mike Williams.

Showtime
04-10-2007, 11:17 AM
Biggest Risk:

Dwayne Jarrett, Southern California: Is a phenomenal athlete with great hands and will be a nightmare for cornerbacks inside the red zone. However, his lack of speed and explosiveness are big issues. Some wonder if his attitude is a resemblance of confidence or arrogance. It’s hard to ignore the similarities between him and former Trojan Mike Williams.
Couldn't agree more which sucks when I hear things like the Titans are seriously interested in him and having him visit because it's looking like it's a really good chance that, if he's there, they seriously consider taking him. I really hope they'd look elsewhere but word is they really like him. I'm sure he'll be a nice WR but that chance of bustage prevents me from being super enthused with the thought of getting him.

YoHoChecko
04-10-2007, 11:55 AM
I have to disagree with these rankings somewhat. Ted Ginn is listed by you as a return guy and a guy who can develop into a #2. Then he's not the second-best in this draft. Dwayne Bowe is ranked too low. I wasn't high on Bowe for a while because I felt he dropped too many passes based on watching the 2005 season. However, I have later learned that (like Javon Walker) he had lasic surgery to correct his vision and was MUCH more reliable in 2006. With that being corrected, you basically have a carbon copy of Terrell Owens without the attitude. Whether or not he has the work ethic to develop and continue to grow as much as Owens did remains to be seen, but he has all the tools, and yet you rank him 6th.

I agree the similarities between Jarrett and Williams are there, but it also has to be remembered that Williams is battling wight problems that are not an issue for Jarrett. I think Jarrett could end up a lot like Keyshawn Johnson... but again, the question is: does he have the desire and ethic to really learn the ins and outs of the position as much as he'd need to with his limitations. That makes him more of a project than I'd like, but he can contribute immediately as a big target in the red zone or on 3rd downs or jump balls/fade routes.

Another sleeper that I really like is Laurent Robinson out of Illinois St. He's 6'2", ran a 4.38 and looked good in agility drills. More importantly, check out this from his nfl.com profile:
Smart, instinctive runner and also does well in the classroom … Picks up plays quickly and is alert to coverages, doing a nice job of finding the soft spot in the zone to settle in … Regarded by the staff the team's "most trustworthy" player, as he works hard in the training and film rooms, showing good self-starting ability … Capable of getting to the ball in a crowd and there is no flinch to him, even when he knows the defense is about to drill him … Has the ability to accelerate into his routes instantly and shows good urgency in and out of his cuts The same sentiment is expressed in espn.com, nfldraftcountdown, and sportingnews. This is a guy who runs great routes, has reliable hands, has deep speed, is 6'2" and no one is talking about. A definite sleeper possibility. He reminds me of a faster version of Greg Jennings who went in the 2nd round last year... but Jennings had more production in college (though Robinson had his share, as well).

Also, David Ball has poor top-end speed, but good acceleration and athleticism, is 6'1", broke Jerry Rice's college records, has perfect intangibles, vacuum hands and is a mortal lock to be at the least Ricky Proehl on the next level. His 4.7 with a sore hamstring likely kept him on the second day, but do not overlook him as a sleeper prospect.

For the record, I would rank them like this:

1. Calvin Johnson
2. Dwayne Bowe
3. Robert Meachem
4. Tedd Ginn
5. Dwayne Jarrett
6. Sidney Rice

But honestly, I like all of those guys for their own reasons. 2-6 is completely negotiable, depends on what type of team/offense you have, what you're looking for, ect. Calvin Johnson has it all, Meachem seems to have it, but occasional concentration drops and only one productive year gives hestiation, Bowe won't burn you deep but should be a very solid, productive, well-rounded receiver, Ginn is a project with limited size but has the most electrifying presence, Jarrett can immediately enhance the red zone, but only fits as a possession/end zone receiver and Rice has a ton of tools and good production but needs a lot of polish and can only be taken by a team that has time for him to develop, though he can also immediately help in the red zone and in jump balls. Like I said, it's all a matter of what the team is looking for between 2-6.

l.a. no-teamers
04-10-2007, 12:03 PM
Now don’t get me wrong, this was an outstanding read Weston, but I really gotta disagree with the Mike Williams comparisons, Im seriously sick of it. He’s like Mike Williams because he’s a big WR from USC? Then they will say the same thing about Patrick Turner and Vidal Hazelton and on and on and on …

Mike Williams is a lot thicker than Jarrett, he’s always been boarderline TE body while Jarrett is a tall lanky WR. Jarrett has more lateral quickness and better game speed. They are about the same height but Jarrett plays longer because he’s better at high pointing the ball. Williams was more powerful however, but Jarrett is better technically at shielding the defender for a catch.

That said, Jarrett can get pushed around, and without great top end speed, that may limit his success in the league.

Weston M
04-10-2007, 05:22 PM
I have to disagree with these rankings somewhat. Ted Ginn is listed by you as a return guy and a guy who can develop into a #2. Then he's not the second-best in this draft.

Your opnion. However, Ginn has game-changing ability and will be very dangerous in the return game. He has the ability to take any kick back for a score or have them kick away from him entirely. Saying he can develop into a solid #2 does not diminish his value. Truth be told he can be a good #1. However, I feel with his speed and the things he does well that he can be a dangerous #2 that might as well be another #1 for a team, much like with Harrison and Wayne.


Dwayne Bowe is ranked too low. I wasn't high on Bowe for a while because I felt he dropped too many passes based on watching the 2005 season. However, I have later learned that (like Javon Walker) he had lasic surgery to correct his vision and was MUCH more reliable in 2006. With that being corrected, you basically have a carbon copy of Terrell Owens without the attitude. Whether or not he has the work ethic to develop and continue to grow as much as Owens did remains to be seen, but he has all the tools, and yet you rank him 6th.

I like Bowe a lot. A WHOLE lot. I saw him play a handful of times during the course of the year and I think he'll be a spectacular player at the next level. It was hard to put Bowe where I did but my 4-6 was literally a toss-up based on how teams may look at them as far as overall talent goes. Make no mistake he'll be a first round pick...perhaps even a Saint. As far as the TO comparison...no. I like how you said that he's a copy of TO without the attitude but I believe that comparison is best suited for Calvin Johnson...although Johnson has enough ability to become one of the greatest we've ever seen.


I agree the similarities between Jarrett and Williams are there, but it also has to be remembered that Williams is battling wight problems that are not an issue for Jarrett. I think Jarrett could end up a lot like Keyshawn Johnson... but again, the question is: does he have the desire and ethic to really learn the ins and outs of the position as much as he'd need to with his limitations. That makes him more of a project than I'd like, but he can contribute immediately as a big target in the red zone or on 3rd downs or jump balls/fade routes.

Yes Williams battled weight problems and in that sense it's an unfair comparison. However, I watched both of them play and they have a whole lot more in common than just Trojan uniforms. They were both tall ball-hawking receivers in college that possessed the ability to catch anything thrown at them, create mismatches everywhere, and have great body control.


For the record, I would rank them like this:

1. Calvin Johnson
2. Dwayne Bowe
3. Robert Meachem
4. Tedd Ginn
5. Dwayne Jarrett
6. Sidney Rice

But honestly, I like all of those guys for their own reasons. 2-6 is completely negotiable, depends on what type of team/offense you have, what you're looking for, ect.

Absolutely. I like you believe it can go many ways 2-6...especially 4-6.

weston

YoHoChecko
04-10-2007, 05:49 PM
Your opnion. However, Ginn has game-changing ability and will be very dangerous in the return game. He has the ability to take any kick back for a score or have them kick away from him entirely. Saying he can develop into a solid #2 does not diminish his value. Truth be told he can be a good #1. However, I feel with his speed and the things he does well that he can be a dangerous #2 that might as well be another #1 for a team, much like with Harrison and Wayne. Well why didn't ya say that, then? My whole point is that if you think he's a #2, then he shouldn't be ranked that high by you.


I like Bowe a lot. A WHOLE lot. I saw him play a handful of times during the course of the year and I think he'll be a spectacular player at the next level. It was hard to put Bowe where I did but my 4-6 was literally a toss-up based on how teams may look at them as far as overall talent goes. Make no mistake he'll be a first round pick...perhaps even a Saint. As far as the TO comparison...no. I like how you said that he's a copy of TO without the attitude but I believe that comparison is best suited for Calvin Johnson...although Johnson has enough ability to become one of the greatest we've ever seen.Johnson is taller than TO, faster than TO, has better hands than TO. Bowe has a thick physique, is the same height as TO, does not have elite deep speed, but is physical and has strength; both Bowe and TO are tough runners after the catch, despite not having that elite speed or even quick-twich elusiveness. I see the two as very similar players. Johnson is more like Randy Moss without the attitude... only a bit thicker, and hopefully some more route refinement.


Yes Williams battled weight problems and in that sense it's an unfair comparison. However, I watched both of them play and they have a whole lot more in common than just Trojan uniforms. They were both tall ball-hawking receivers in college that possessed the ability to catch anything thrown at them, create mismatches everywhere, and have great body control.I agree they have a lot in common... but they are different. I do see Jarrett more like Keyshawn than Williams, as they're both thinner... but I think Jarrett's really somewhere in between the two. Maybe he's Joe Jurevicious, really; who knows, haha


Absolutely. I like you believe it can go many ways 2-6...especially 4-6.

weston
And the draft order will be interesting to see because it only takes one team to prefer Rice over, say, Ginn and Jarrett, for him to go higher.

billevee23
04-14-2007, 10:55 AM
Solid rankings. As said above, anybody can argue about 3-5. Meachem, Bowe, and Jarrett are so close it's ridiculous. If I had to rank them, I'd probably go.

1. Calvin Johnson
2. Ted Ginn Jr.
3. Robert Meachem
4. Dwayne Bowe
5. Dwayne Jarrett
6. Sidney Rice

That being said, the only way I see Jarrett in the second round would be a "monkey see, monkey do" affect. Just like we say in Winston Justice last year, if some teams pass on Jarrett it may lead some other teams to think twice.

YoHoChecko
04-14-2007, 02:25 PM
Solid rankings. As said above, anybody can argue about 3-5. Meachem, Bowe, and Jarrett are so close it's ridiculous. If I had to rank them, I'd probably go.

1. Calvin Johnson
2. Ted Ginn Jr.
3. Robert Meachem
4. Dwayne Bowe
5. Dwayne Jarrett
6. Sidney Rice

That being said, the only way I see Jarrett in the second round would be a "monkey see, monkey do" affect. Just like we say in Winston Justice last year, if some teams pass on Jarrett it may lead some other teams to think twice.

I think that's especially true if, say, the Titans pass on Jarrett, considering Norm Chow knows exactly what he can do. If he's not good enough fro a team that knows him intimately, it might raise some questions (like passing on Leinert last year?) But I doubt all that many teams take that into consideration; it takes a weak-minded and/or insecure GM to shy away from his ideas based on someone else's.

jjflr
04-14-2007, 03:00 PM
Admittedly, I am no college football expert, but I thought that Ginn had fallen to the 3rd or 4th best receiver in this draft ??
Everyone in this thread still shows him #2............

YoHoChecko
04-14-2007, 04:26 PM
Admittedly, I am no college football expert, but I thought that Ginn had fallen to the 3rd or 4th best receiver in this draft ??
Everyone in this thread still shows him #2............

Eveyone does? Funny, he's 4th on my list d-: