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jjflr
02-24-2007, 03:26 PM
http://www.pigskinheaven.com/gallery/files/7/DisplayNFLSHIELDcl_938071.gif

Early Look At The 2007 Season

(subtitled: Yes, I'm Already Missing Game-Day)

by
JJFLR
February 2007

Making general predictions prior to the free agency period and the draft is not as impossible as it may seem. We know the teams that are currently in a position to lose many players on their roster………we know the teams that are in a re-building mode……….. and we know the organizations that are good at re-loading in a short amount of time. We know the teams that have high draft picks and regardless of who they draft, very few teams change their results on the field immediately due to the draft.

The Saints would be the exception to the rule this past season. They were able to change their fortunes in one season due to a coaching change, great FA acquisitions, and a spectacular draft. Who could be the 'Saints' in 2007?

Coaching changes and keeping players healthy are major factors also. The Jets made a 180 degree turn with a coaching change and by keeping their QB healthy all year.

Many young teams are continuing to re-build after hitting the depths of despair but there is no guarantee that these teams will continue to improve next season. Many young teams have 'breakout' years and then immediately take a step back the following year.

Having said all of this, here are my thoughts on each division and how they shape up as we look towards next season. In general, the NFC will remain the weak sister to the AFC next year. I don’t see the any organizations in the NFC taking humongous steps next year. The AFC will continue to dominate.


AFC EAST

http://image.teamfca.net/siteuploadfiles/FCA/17067E57-E49E-40DB-9E8161B27B9588F4/4FDAEDBA-9192-4DA3-9A8A953E9A463B44.jpg
New Dolphins Head Coach Cam Cameron

At this point, this looks like it could be a 3-team race between the Dolphins, Jets, and Patriots. I like the coaching move the Dolphins made. If they can solidify the QB position, they’ll be o.k. I expect the Jets to remain very competitive if Chad stays healthy (which is a big ‘if’). The Pats will continue to win a lot of games with Bellichick and Brady. The Bills are going to lose some impact players on defense most likely and I see them taking a step back next year.


AFC NORTH

http://media.hamptonroads.com/media/content/pilotonline/2007/01/tomlin450x306.jpg
New Steelers Head Coach Mike Tomlin

I see a 2-team battle for the North crown in 2007 between the Ravens and Bengals. The coaching change in Pittsburgh along with the roster losses lead me to believe they could be re-building for a couple of years. The Browns are still the Browns and have too many holes to fill in a short amount of time. The Ravens will keep most of their key players intact on both sides of the ball and the Bengals remain very talented and won’t have such a difficult schedule in 2007 so I see these 2 as the front-runners.


AFC SOUTH

http://www.tahoecelebritygolf.com/Players/images/carr-david-2.jpg
Clash fan David Carr--Will he stay or will he go ?

The Titans and Texans are the only teams I can see that can give the Colts some competition in 2007 but the Titans could take a step back this year unless they make the right moves in free agency. Free agency is going to be crucial for them. The Texans ‘could’ be the Saints of 2006 if they make all the right moves in free agency and the draft and get spectacular play at the QB position somehow, either with Carr or a free-agent acquisition. The Jaguars are going to be re-building their roster. I don’t see them doing much.


AFC WEST

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/football/nfl/2001/preview/news/2001/08/23/banks_burningquestions/turner.jpg
New Chargers Head Coach Norv Turner

The Chargers are going to come back to the pack without Marty and they may not be the most talented team in this division in the first place. The Chiefs have a lot of questions on offense, especially at QB. Their key skill positions on offense and defense are not getting any younger. The Raiders are still in re-building mode and I don't think Kiffin was the right choice. They should have kept Shell in the first place, though. That leaves this division for the taking by the Broncos. If Cutler lives up to the hype, they will win the division. They are the most talented team in this division, in my opinion, and with Marty gone, they once again have the best coach


NFC EAST

http://www.sptimes.com/News/010901/photos/sp-wade.jpg
New Cowboys Head Coach Wade Phillips

The Eagles remain the favorite with solid coaching and talent on both sides of the ball. McNabb and Westbrook are coming back, which will always make their offense potent. The Cowboys will be average under an average coach. Don’t expect anything ‘super’ from them. Their talent is not over-powering on either side of the ball. The Giants have lost Tiki and will now be relying on Eli. They’re not as dangerous as they were. Coughlin 'may' have lost this team (depending on who you ask) and it will show on the field. The Redskins are the wild-card. If Gibbs can stabilize the QB position, they could be a surprise team and give the Eagles a run.


NFC NORTH

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Brett Favre Returns in 2007



Bears by default once again. They have the most talent and best coaching, even with Rivera gone. The Packers are going to help Favre set a lot of records but they won’t win a lot of games with him under center. I would love to see what they could do with an offense that was not so focused on passing the ball a certain # of times each game. They have talent and should be improving. The Lions are still a team without talent and it’s hard to change that in one season. Their lack of success is an organizational issue at this point. The Vikings still seem to be a team/organization in disarray. It’s hard to win a lot of games that way. Their lack of talent at key skill positions on offense will hold them back until talent is put in those positions


NFC SOUTH

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New Falcons Head Coach Bobby Petrino

I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that the Bucs are the only team that can give the Saints a run for the division in 2007. I believe Gruden is a good coach and if Simms or Rattay can step into the starting role and stay healthy, they have talent at a lot of positions and can win some games. The Panthers are in a state of flux after a very disappointing season. I don’t know if Delhomme is ever going to be the QB he once was. He doesn't make good decisions during the game and appears to have trouble reading defenses. It's almost as if D-coordinators figured out his weaknesses and he has been unable to adjust. I don’t expect anything spectacular out of a Falcons organization that has made several questionable decisions over the past couple of years. Without a top-notch running game, I can't see how the Falcons can score an adequate amount of points


NFC WEST

http://images.nfl.com/photos/img9215058.jpg
New Cardinals Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt

The Cards could improve if Whisenhunt is the right coach. No one knows at this point. They are still lacking on talent on both O-line and D-line and it's impossible to win a lot of games in this league when you lose the battle in the trenches. The 49ers are improving but, once again, they have major holes that will prevent them from being ‘super’. Free agency and the draft will be huge for them. This organization needs to decide if they are 'ready' to take the next step. I believe they are. This leaves the aging teams of the Rams and Seahawks. The Seahawks probably still have the most talent in the division and should be considered the favorites. The Rams still have Holt, Bruce, and Jackson and therefore can at least put some points up, but they, also, have some huge holes in many positions on the field that will prevent them from being 'super'.

Azazel
02-24-2007, 03:37 PM
wow, good stuff, although EARLY! lol

yes the eagles WILL win the division again, and the only other prediction i have for '07 right now is that people will ***** and moan about your rankings (which i find MORE than fair my friend and enjoy fully!)

thanks for the work!

Wolverine
02-24-2007, 03:39 PM
No rebuilding with most of the starters returning.. No way

jjflr
02-24-2007, 03:55 PM
No rebuilding with most of the starters returning.. No way

They have a New Head Coach. He will probably need some time to implement his own ideas, schemes, and may have 'his' players that he wants to move into starting roles eventually after the draft and free agency. It may take time. In most cases of coaching changes, a 're-building' phase follows because he doesn't want to keep certain players. He wants 'his' guys in there.

Specifically on the field, 0n the O-line, Hartings has retired and Starks may be gone. That's 2 of 5 O-lineman that need to be replaced instantly. Ben is always going to need a heavy run offense and re-buiding an O-line is sometimes challenging.

This is why I forsee a re-building period for the Steelers over the next couple of years.

jjflr
02-24-2007, 03:57 PM
and the only other prediction i have for '07 right now is that people will ***** and moan about your rankings

true dat

BAWHAHAHAHA

thanks for the props my brother

Wolverine
02-24-2007, 04:11 PM
They have a New Head Coach. He will probably need some time to implement his own ideas, schemes, and may have 'his' players that he wants to move into starting roles eventually after the draft and free agency. It may take time. In most cases of coaching changes, a 're-building' phase follows because he doesn't want to keep certain players. He wants 'his' guys in there.

Specifically on the field, 0n the O-line, Hartings has retired and Starks may be gone. That's 2 of 5 O-lineman that need to be replaced instantly. Ben is always going to need a heavy run offense and re-buiding an O-line is sometimes challenging.

This is why I forsee a re-building period for the Steelers over the next couple of years.

He said Scheming isn't a big deal to him, If it was Dick LeBeau wouldn't be back.

If Starks is let go it's because they like whoever they have behind him.

Chukky Okobi did just fine, if not better than Hartings. and if Marvin Philip beats him out, then he obviously is their future.

If anything they need to get a new left tackle that is better in the pass protection.

I could see them cutting players for cap space, like Joey Porter and Kendall Simmons.. But there will not be massive cuts at multiple positions to get "his guys" in there.. This is still a 3-4 team.

TexecutedInTampa
02-24-2007, 06:41 PM
[QUOTE=Borat Sagdiyev;391190]
http://www.pigskinheaven.com/gallery/files/7/DisplayNFLSHIELDcl_938071.gif

Early Look At The 2007 Season

(subtitled: Yes, I'm Already Missing Game-Day)

by
JJFLR
February 2007

Making general predictions prior to the free agency period and the draft is not as impossible as it may seem. We know the teams that are currently in a position to lose many players on their roster………we know the teams that are in a re-building mode……….. and we know the organizations that are good at re-loading in a short amount of time. We know the teams that have high draft picks and regardless of who they draft, very few teams change their results on the field immediately due to the draft.

The Saints would be the exception to the rule this past season. They were able to change their fortunes in one season due to a coaching change, great FA acquisitions, and a spectacular draft. Who could be the 'Saints' in 2007?

Coaching changes and keeping players healthy are major factors also. The Jets made a 180 degree turn with a coaching change and by keeping their QB healthy all year.

Many young teams are continuing to re-build after hitting the depths of despair but there is no guarantee that these teams will continue to improve next season. Many young teams have 'breakout' years and then immediately take a step back the following year.

Having said all of this, here are my thoughts on each division and how they shape up as we look towards next season. In general, the NFC will remain the weak sister to the AFC next year. I don’t see the any organizations in the NFC taking humongous steps next year. The AFC will continue to dominate.

[CENTER]AFC EAST

http://image.teamfca.net/siteuploadfiles/FCA/17067E57-E49E-40DB-9E8161B27B9588F4/4FDAEDBA-9192-4DA3-9A8A953E9A463B44.jpg
New Dolphins Head Coach Cam Cameron

At this point, this looks like it could be a 3-team race between the Dolphins, Jets, and Patriots. I like the coaching move the Dolphins made. If they can solidify the QB position, they’ll be o.k. I expect the Jets to remain very competitive if Chad stays healthy (which is a big ‘if’). The Pats will continue to win a lot of games with Bellichick and Brady. The Bills are going to lose some impact players on defense most likely and I see them taking a step back next year.

Great post, except you give Miami too much credit. SI had them in the Super Bowl last off-season and how off-base was that?? They went into reverse gear compared to 2005!

No. I still believe the Pats are the best of the AFC East, but the NYJ are close on them, and the Bills are not that far off either.

I will lay $500 right now that Miami doesn't win the Division in 2007. New HC. QB up in the air...and neither current candidate a guy you'd put $$ on.

Shoey
02-24-2007, 08:50 PM
you can't be serious if you think Miami is more likely to win the division than Buffalo... on what grounds?

not that either team will win it of course

patriotfreakfan
02-24-2007, 09:00 PM
Miami, after failing miserably last season has taken a big step backwards. Now with another new coach, and still more questions than answers, I see them at the bottom of the AFC East. It's going to be a tough battle between NE and NY with the Bills playing the spoiler role

BigBenCan7
02-24-2007, 10:13 PM
I don't get it.

The Steelers who are a combined 23-13 the past two seasons that have hired a new head coach are going to be in a rebuilding process, but the Dolphins who are a combined 14-18 the past two seasons and have hired a new coach are poised to challenge the Patriots for the AFC East title?

Wolverine
02-24-2007, 10:23 PM
I don't get it.

The Steelers who are a combined 23-13 the past two seasons that have hired a new head coach are going to be in a rebuilding process, but the Dolphins who are a combined 14-18 the past two seasons and have hired a new coach are poised to challenge the Patriots for the AFC East title?

Ya the Steelers have a Quarterback too

jjflr
02-24-2007, 11:23 PM
Ya the Steelers have a Quarterback too

BBC and Wolv, I know why we're not on the same page. The Steelers have only had 2 head coaches since you've both been alive. You are both envisioning another seamless transition to a new head coach, as it was with Cowher, and that the organization will continue making the playoffs almost every year. It doesn't always work out that way. Usually a head coaching change signals that a transition period will occur.

Personally, I think Cowher did an amazing job in Pittsburgh in his 15 years there. 10 playoff appearances. 2 super bowls. Those are big shoes to fill. I think the Steelers are going to have a MAJOR adjustment period. Therefore, I don't see them challenging for the division next season.

jjflr
02-24-2007, 11:52 PM
the Bills are not that far off either


you can't be serious if you think Miami is more likely to win the division than Buffalo..


with the Bills playing the spoiler role


Wow, I will explain my feelings about the Dolphins below but I need explanations for these comments regarding the Bills. The last time I looked, the Bills are going to be losing their 2 best defensive players and 1 of their best offensive players in the off-season and this is an organization that does not have the money or gumption to replace those players immediately. They are most likely going to playing with back-ups at those positions or just going with rookies. I smell trouble in B-town. Someone will have to convince me otherwise because I don’t think JP Losman has progressed enough to carry this team on his back.

As far as the Dolphins, here is my reasoning:

Nick Saban sucked. He didn’t want to be coaching in the NFL last year. His heart wasn’t in it. (And I could also argue the point that he was out of his league coaching in the NFL in the first place).

Now we have Cam Cameron entering the picture. This is the same guy that has developed Antonio Gates, Drew Brees, Phillip Rivers, and even made Antwaan Randle El a productive college QB. The guy knows how to get the most out of his offensive talent, especially at QB.

Cam has been in the league for the last 4 years and wants to be a part of the NFL, unlike the Dolphins previous coach. Players are human beings like us and they can sense when a coach ‘does’ or ‘doesn’t’ like his job. These players are going to play hard and listen to Cam, unlike Saban.

Cam will know who the right person for the QB position is………..he will get the most out of his WR’s and TE and I believe we will see a resurgence from Ronnie Brown. He needs some talent help on the O-line and maybe they will address it in Free Agency and/or the draft. In my opinion, this was the largest coaching upgrade in the league this off-season and it’s not that I necessarily think that Cam Cameron is the next Vince Lombardi, but it’s how little I respect what Nick Saban did as a coach. This team HAS to get better.

Now explain all this hype over the Bills……………..

Shoey
02-25-2007, 12:20 AM
Now explain all this hype over the Bills……………..

it's fairly simple for me. They'll have one of the most dynamic offenses in the AFC with JP and Evans getting another year of development. Plus the team doesn't have to deal with catering to the most overrated back in team history in Willis McGahee, they can get a kid in and have a real running game again. If this team drafts Dwayne Jarrett, it's a top 10 offense.

The defense on the other hand... ew

BigBenCan7
02-25-2007, 12:22 AM
BBC and Wolv, I know why we're not on the same page. The Steelers have only had 2 head coaches since you've both been alive. You are both envisioning another seamless transition to a new head coach, as it was with Cowher, and that the organization will continue making the playoffs almost every year. It doesn't always work out that way. Usually a head coaching change signals that a transition period will occur.

Personally, I think Cowher did an amazing job in Pittsburgh in his 15 years there. 10 playoff appearances. 2 super bowls. Those are big shoes to fill. I think the Steelers are going to have a MAJOR adjustment period. Therefore, I don't see them challenging for the division next season.

Well, five coaches for me, but only two that I really remember all that much (or would want to remember, for that matter).

I understand that you think that a new head coach for the Steelers will drop the Steelers into rebuilding, but this team has more talent in just about every aspect of the game than the Dolphins, yet that team is going to make a smooth transition with their new head coach, and challenge this decade's dynasty for the division title?

Something just doesn't match up, in my opinion anyway.

jjflr
02-25-2007, 12:38 AM
Well, five coaches for me, but only two that I really remember all that much (or would want to remember, for that matter).

I understand that you think that a new head coach for the Steelers will drop the Steelers into rebuilding, but this team has more talent in just about every aspect of the game than the Dolphins, yet that team is going to make a smooth transition with their new head coach, and challenge this decade's dynasty for the division title?

Something just doesn't match up, in my opinion anyway.

ok, let me put it another way so that maybe you can understand where I'm coming from............I am of the belief that NFL talent is NFL talent and there aren't HUGE differences between most teams. Are the Steelers more talented than the Dolphins ? Probably. How much ? I don't think anyone can say with 100% certainty since the Dolphins were mired in 2 years of Nick Saban. The guy did not develop ANYONE on the Miami roster. It was atrocious. A disaster.

Let's just focus on whether we think the coaching changes were 'upgrades' or 'downgrades' for each team............

Dolphins

Saban=didn't want to be a coach in the NFL. Offense re-gressed to one of the worst in the NFL under his leadership.

Cameron=been in the league for the last 4 years and loves it. Has developed Antonio Gates, Drew Brees, and Phillip Rivers.

Final Analysis: HUGE upgrade

Steelers

Cowher=Hall of fame coach. 10 playoffs and 2 SB's in 15 years.

Tomlin=NFL assistant for several years, including D-coordinator for a great Vikings defense this past season. Coached a great secondary in Tampa Bay and made huge strides with the Vikings defense last year.

Final Analysis: Downgrade

No matter how 'good' I can view Tomlin, I just don't see any way that you can call this a coaching upgrade for the Steelers. For the Dolphins, it is clearly an upgrade. Based on this information, I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Dolphins of 2007 become like the Jets were this past season (motivated under a new coach).

Shoey
02-25-2007, 12:47 AM
upgraded or downgraded doesn't matter much when the measuring sticks are Saban and Cowher.

The difference for me boils down to this, the Steelers have a solid nucleus in place.. Can you honestly say the Dolphins have a talent core that rivals the Steelers? If the coaching is even.. The Steelers are a better team.

Wolverine
02-25-2007, 08:52 AM
If anything Tomlin is a huge upgrade over LAST YEAR Cowher.. Last Year Cowher sucked.. He as awful as far as getting this team to play. Un-motivated, going through the motions, and by the time they started playing like they should it was the last play of the season and they were dead already.

I don't want to hear any of this new coach transition crap after two young head coaches single handedly turned teams around and led them to a playoff appearance and an NFC Championship Game appearance. Fact of the matter is the Steelers have WAY more talent than any of those teams had when they got new coaches. They also have way more continuity because the defensive coordinator and his scheme is staying for the most part.

I'm not saying they are even going to win the division, but this will not be a two headed race. The Steelers are going to have as much part in the outcome of that division as the other two teams will.

BigBenCan7
02-25-2007, 09:35 AM
ok, let me put it another way so that maybe you can understand where I'm coming from............I am of the belief that NFL talent is NFL talent and there aren't HUGE differences between most teams. Are the Steelers more talented than the Dolphins ? Probably. How much ? I don't think anyone can say with 100% certainty since the Dolphins were mired in 2 years of Nick Saban. The guy did not develop ANYONE on the Miami roster. It was atrocious. A disaster.

Let's just focus on whether we think the coaching changes were 'upgrades' or 'downgrades' for each team............

Dolphins

Saban=didn't want to be a coach in the NFL. Offense re-gressed to one of the worst in the NFL under his leadership.

Cameron=been in the league for the last 4 years and loves it. Has developed Antonio Gates, Drew Brees, and Phillip Rivers.

Final Analysis: HUGE upgrade

Steelers

Cowher=Hall of fame coach. 10 playoffs and 2 SB's in 15 years.

Tomlin=NFL assistant for several years, including D-coordinator for a great Vikings defense this past season. Coached a great secondary in Tampa Bay and made huge strides with the Vikings defense last year.

Final Analysis: Downgrade

No matter how 'good' I can view Tomlin, I just don't see any way that you can call this a coaching upgrade for the Steelers. For the Dolphins, it is clearly an upgrade. Based on this information, I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Dolphins of 2007 become like the Jets were this past season (motivated under a new coach).

So you can know how both of these coaches are going to pan out, but not how Whiz will pan out in Arizona?

I wouldn't have such a problem with your reasoning if it were consistent, but some teams that get new head coaches are going to be in a rebuilding process because of the new coach, while others are going to shoot from 6-10 to a team that will contend for the AFC East title, and others we just simply can't predict how the new coach will do.

Again, something just doesn't match up when reading all of your assessments of teams.

Crunked
02-25-2007, 10:19 AM
I too would like to lodge a complaint about my squad, of course first you will have to actually talk about them, Where da Colts at? LOL I feel I was robbed :D
A fun article as can be witnessed by all these people up in arms over your assertions, ppl we havent even started Free Agency yet in earnest, relllllllllaaaax LOL

jjflr
02-25-2007, 11:21 AM
I too would like to lodge a complaint about my squad, of course first you will have to actually talk about them, Where da Colts at? LOL I feel I was robbed :D
A fun article as can be witnessed by all these people up in arms over your assertions, ppl we havent even started Free Agency yet in earnest, relllllllllaaaax LOL

yes, i had to leave the Colts out since I didnt want to face the wrath of Crunked in addition to everyone else..........there's only so many people I can tick off at once..............

;)

Azazel
02-25-2007, 12:04 PM
yes, i had to leave the Colts out since I didnt want to face the wrath of Crunked in addition to everyone else..........there's only so many people I can tick off at once..............

;)

the colts suck.

Crunked
02-25-2007, 02:17 PM
the colts suck.

and this coming from a guy that has jumped on and off the Colts band wagon so often his splinters have splinters

Azazel
02-25-2007, 03:56 PM
and this coming from a guy that has jumped on and off the Colts band wagon so often his splinters have splinters

and it still hurts....

i was on that wagon for like 4 years, this was the first year i jumped off.


then i was back on against the pats....because well....they are the pats.

TexecutedInTampa
02-25-2007, 07:31 PM
wow, good stuff, although EARLY! lol

yes the eagles WILL win the division again, and the only other prediction i have for '07 right now is that people will ***** and moan about your rankings (which i find MORE than fair my friend and enjoy fully!)

thanks for the work!

NICE work, except you give the Dolphins too much credit, and don't give enough to the Bills.

Both teams are getting the labels they deserved 3-4 years ago...the Fins aren't as good as they were. The Bills are not worse by any means.